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No. 9282
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It's still kind of a bad idea. I mean, it ultimately didn't even wind up actually killing anybody. Rudolf's death was more of a remarkable coincidence than anything caused by the fire.
At what point was the guesthouse bomb detonated anyway, and how? Was it a timer? Why was it set for what seemed like twelve-plus hours? How could anyone have predicted where the sequence of events would have progressed from that point, especially given the unintended necessity of hiding in an igloo all night? The boiler bomb had to be manually triggered so there would be no way to know when that would've happened.
(re: Boiler Room)
How was the boiler room bomb supposed to work out? What if it didn't knock anybody out? What if it caused a large part of the house to collapse? What if it collapsed the way to the gold or knocked the portraits down? There was already enough trouble with two people escaping and confronting the culprit immediately. The plan seems to have been to knock out or kill whoever she could and stab the rest, except several people actually ended up cut off which could've ruined everything (and basically did).
(re: Harming the Detective)
Also I think this was addressed in some of the commentary in the original thread, but how did Kinjo get stabbed when the red said he couldn't be harmed? There was also some Macbeth-level speculation about Maria and c-sections and such but Maria wasn't the attacker and there was never any evidence to suggest the culprit was born in that manner. Not even in her own flashbacks.
But even if that were true, how would Battler have been able to strike him during the guesthouse fight? Was Battler ALSO born from a c-section? Wouldn't Kyrie have noticed that? They wouldn't have delivered a stillborn baby by c-section. Was anyone on the island NOT born by c-section?
Jessica hit Kinjo but didn't cause actual harm, which also seems like an overly literal invocation of the red. In fact, I actually took that as a clue when it apparently wasn't.
(re: Battler's Theories)
When and why did Battler stop thinking Kinjo was the culprit? He doesn't appear to actually know who the culprit is until she reveals herself. Granted, Battler should've already guessed Kinjo wasn't the culprit because he couldn't have caused Krauss's death and Battler was Kinjo's alibi for that (and vice-versa).
When did Battler actually pick up that gold bar? Was he carrying it around the entire time, including during the fight with Kinjo (that's quite a handicap!)? Did he rush off back to the mansion first? How long did that take? How did nobody see him? Why didn't he suggest the tunnels first thing? The culprit didn't actually prepare for that eventuality, and if he thought Kinjo was the culprit he could be relatively certain Kinjo would have no way to do anything untoward because Kinjo had no idea the tunnels existed.
(re: Cause of Death Three Years Ago)
It was stated that the victims were all shot in the back of the head. All three of them. This seems improbable.
1) Yasu "took the bullet" for George, which necessitates being aware of the bullet, which suggests she'd be facing it. Granted, the photograph/report says half her face was gone, but in that case I question the conclusion made that her death was from a shot to the "back of the head."
2) Why did George turn his back to someone who had a gun and had just shot at him? I can accept this one if he was shot execution-style while collapsed and crying over Yasu's body but it still seems awfully convenient.
3) How did nobody notice the manner in which Erika escaped the shed? Did she put the window BACK? How did Berune get her to turn around, since she apparently had to talk to her first which would suggest they were facing each other? How did Berune even find her in time, and why didn't anyone notice she was also missing during that time (Battler noticed Yasu was missing, why didn't anyone notice another servant was too)? Why throw her body in the ocean when you could just leave it in the forest? Rokkenjima is much more inhospitable in its interior than it is on its beaches, and corpses float.
(re: The Gold)
Why didn't Genji ever notice that some of the gold was disappearing from the gold room? It was sitting on a table, so it's not like it was hidden from sight. Although she claims that "The fools will never know the gold was even there," we know at the very least that Genji and Krauss knew. The original plan did not require anyone be killed so they would've eventually realized this.
Moreover, why DIDN'T she just escape with half the gold as she suggested? What was the hurry? Actually, what was the hurry under the current circumstances? She didn't know a detective was coming when Krauss announced his family gathering. Neither did Krauss, in fact. Even then, Krauss wasn't inclined to cooperate with any detective. One holiday a year wouldn't do anything to her plans to smuggle the gold bit by bit when nobody is around. It might slow it down but as long as she always waits for everyone to be absent (which should happen often enough) she'll never be caught, and nobody can just confront her about the gold because they don't know she knows it exists, and won't have any on her person any time she isn't supposed to.
She might have been concerned about somebody else finding it, but that would actually make her situation better as it would throw any suspicion on the discoverer and the fact that a bunch of the gold was missing wouldn't be an easy subject to raise under the circumstances.
"Oh yeah, we were hiding a bunch of gold from everybody. But actually there was even more of it and it's missing somehow, help us find it! Honest!"
It's not like you can report it to the police. That gold is completely illegal. Once Berune has it off the island, it's effectively impossible for them to get it back.
I had a pet theory that I came up with but I hadn't paid enough attention to all of the reds so I was fairly sure it was contradicted at some point or just plain impossible due to logistics. I was primarily confused by the use of different sprites for Battler and Jessica and thought something was going on there.
Also why was Erika even in the story anyway? To make them not like detectives because they're jerks who cut people's heads off? Well, Kinjo sure didn't do anything to dispel THAT.
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